Playoff Round 1: 5/14 vs Stanwood
Views, thoughts and opinions expressed are those solely of the lax-dad. No player or team representative has endorsed any of the below content.
Lynnwood: Here we come!
On a beautiful night before an equally divided crowd, SLC raced out to a quick 3-0 lead and never looked back, finally finishing off the team from the north, 9-2 in the first round of the DII playoffs. Sammamish will face Lynnwood on Friday, May 21 for the right to advance to the semi-final game against the winner of Wenatchee and Blanchet.
The offense came to play. Quick strikes by Christian Paxton and Tyler Wright dug a quick hole for Stanwood to trip into. A nice dodge and a sharp angled shot coming from behind the net on the left side by Matt only kicked sand in their face. A punishing defensive effort and faceoff wins in 10 of 13 draws for Matt and team limited Stanwood’s scoring attempts to a mere 7 shots. And the offense was clicking with crisp passing that resulted in Brian Headland racking up three assists to go with his one goal. Other scoring credit goes to Christian (2g, 1a), Neal Hones and Andrew Wenzel.
Friday’ game in Lynnwood (11-2), Westsidelax.com’s preseason favorite (SLC picked third), will match the most prolific scoring team in the league (three of the top five scorers in the league play for Lynnwood) against the league’s second-ranked defense based on points allowed. And while Lynnwood can put it in the net, opponent shots hit yarn at a high rate as well. Lynnwood scored 216 points and yielded 118 points for a point deferential of 98. SLC scored 160 points and opponents scored 42 goals for a =/- of 122 points. Lynnwood goalie David DeKoukkouk saved 94 of 180 shots for a Sv% of 56% and a Goal Against Average of 9 goals per game. Scott Johnson saved 49 of 79 shots, 63% for a GAA of 2.0/game.
As often stated here on this blog, I’m that last one who should be expected to offer insight or an accurate forecast for a game’s outcome. But that said, let’s take a look at some numbers. Both teams played opponents with a combined record of 54-63, so each team’s 11-2 record is padded with wins over weaker opponents. Lynnwood has proven that they will shoot, to an average of 29 shots per game while averaging 16 goals per contest. SLC shoots an average of 21 shots on goal and averages 11 points. I haven’t seen Lynnwood play, but I’m guessing that they just shove the ball down opponent’s throats with speed and quick passes. SLC has a much more deliberate, structured offense, working the ball around the wheel before taking shots. This could account for the difference in shots on goals between the teams. Each team converted on 53% of their shots on goal.
While Lynnwood’s opponents shot an average of over 16 shots per game (7.7 pts/game), SLC opponents shot 7.6 shots and scored an average of 2.8 points per game. SLC goalie Scott Johnson saved, as noted above, 63% of attempts on goal; DeKoukkouk 56%. And, during the season Lynnwood faced four top 10 goalies (based on over 480 minutes in the crease) going 4-0 in those contests. SLC faced six top 10 goalies going 4-2, losing twice to Lake Washington.
The math then figures that if Lynnwood gets their 29 shots on goal and Johnson saves 63%, Lynnwood will score 11 points. If Sammamish shots their average 21 shots and converts on 53%, SLC will score 10 points. Does this mean that Lynnwood wins the contest 11-10?
Only if Lynnwood gets the ball. Therefore, control of the ball will begin with face-off wins. And when SLC gets the ball they need to hold onto it and not turn the ball over. And from the look at the season totals, Lynnwood didn’t face a defense like SLC. If this team is to win, the Long-pole Rats are going to have to deliver the checks and slides that minimize the flash fire offense of this team up the I-5.
Win the faceoff battle
2. Control the ball and no turnovers
3. Play the defense this team is capable of
Do these things to minimize the Lynnwood shot attempts and be confident that Scott will have a great day in the crease and we will win!
Go team!